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Tue, 19th Jul 2022 7:24:00 |
Extreme weather: What is it and how is it connected to climate change? |
People around the globe are experiencing dramatic heatwaves, deadly floods and wildfires as a result of climate change.
The UK and parts of Europe have seen temperatures of above 40C this month, leading to transport disruption and water shortages.
Emissions caused by the burning of fossil fuels have been trapping heat in the atmosphere since the start of the industrial era. This extra heat isn't evenly distributed across the globe, and bursts out extreme weather events.
Unless global emissions are cut, this cycle will continue.
Here are four ways climate change is changing the weather.
1. Hotter, longer heatwaves
To understand the impact of small changes to average temperatures, think of them as a bell curve with extreme cold and hot at either end, and the bulk of temperatures in the middle.
A small shift in the centre means more of the curve touches the extremes - and so heatwaves become more frequent and extreme.
Temperatures in the UK topped 40C for the first time on 19 July.
The Met Office estimates that the extreme heat seen during the most recent heatwave is ten times more likely now because of climate change. And things could worsen.
"In a few decades this might actually be a quite a cool summer," says Professor Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London.
The Met Office has also pointed out that heatwaves are not just hotter: They're also lasting longer. Warm spells have more than doubled in length in the past 50 years.
Why is it so hot in the UK?
Is the UK getting hotter?
Heatwaves can be made longer and more intense by another weather phenomenon - a heat dome.
In an area of high pressure, hot air is pushed down and trapped in place, causing temperatures to soar over an entire continent.
When a storm distorts the jet stream, which is made of currents of fast-flowing air, it is a bit like yanking a skipping rope at one end and seeing the ripples move along it.
These waves cause everything to slow drastically and weather systems can become stuck over the same areas for days on end - as was seen in India earlier this year.
India and Pakistan have already faced five successive heatwaves this year, with Jacobabad, in Pakistan, registering 49C at one point in May.
In the Southern Hemisphere, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Brazil all saw an historic heatwave in January - many areas reported their hottest day on record.
In the same month, Onslow in Western Australia hit 50.7C, the joint-highest temperature ever reliably recorded in the Southern Hemisphere.
Last year, North America was also hit by long heatwaves. The western Canadian town of Lytton burnt down when temperatures hit 49.6C, breaking the previous record by almost 5C.
Such an intense heatwave would have been virtually impossible without climate change, says the World Weather Attribution network, a collaboration between international climate scientists.
One theory suggests higher temperatures in the Arctic are causing the jet stream to slow, increasing the likelihood of heat domes.
Life at 50 degrees
2. More persistent droughts
As heatwaves become more intense and longer, droughts can also worsen.
Less rain falls between heatwaves, so ground moisture and water supplies run dry more quickly. This means the ground takes less time to heat up, warming the air above and leading to more intense heat.
Read original full article
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